Recapped the whole chassis, because always a good place to start, no dice. Checked for cold solder joints, did find a handful, reflowed them. If there are any specific places you think I should reflow even if I'm not seeing a visual because they seem like they might be related please let me know.
The H.H15 pot was glued down, broke the seal and adjusted it just to check, can get the usual bad sync from pushing it too far, but doesn't help anything.
Replaced the LA7853 sync deflection IC since that seemed a likely culprit. No change. Did the vertical deflection IC LA7837 at the same time, just to be safe, even if it seemed unlikely to be the source of the problem.
I'm out of ideas at this point.
If anyone has any further suggestions I'm very open them!

If the issue is the LA7853 then maybe whatever cause it to go bad in the first place is also affecting the replacement, but not sure what that could be. It seems unlikely my replacement IC was already bad in the exact same way though. Here's a pic of the problem if you can't load the video: